March 15, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Affluential | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Bili | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stronger | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune Cookie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miago | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agujero | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chase Your Dreams | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Rory | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nite Nite | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Signature Twirl | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resistance Jak | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Light Breeze | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Florida Line | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secret Pleasure | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muchacha Uno | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Magic | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Minute Ellie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackwynn | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shellshackup | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midway Playa | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | African Chief | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomater Gator | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jai Blue | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puertorican Style | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Cain | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rogue Patriot | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scribe | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vaughan | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teak | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Fly Zone | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Guru | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Super Lucky | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Chaplin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crown to the Gold | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Howie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiraboschi | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paynter’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jailhouse Kitten | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord of Misrule | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Space Captain | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Hill | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trev | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zandar | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Small Fortune | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Mars | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Jet | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Colorful | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempter | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy the Bull | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Budding | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Melody Croon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Schmiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Durven | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Americain | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laniakea | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Perfect State | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizwar | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Everyday Ice | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Talk Back | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magical Sky | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bletchley (GB) | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Folk Magic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Fur | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat M’s Image | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhriously Kissed | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hannahanna | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iron Johnny | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Mac Cool | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Joy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandt | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Debdurite | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Marco Drive | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Edition | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nonno Nino | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kanaris | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.