March 11, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Tequila | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satin Sheets | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eighth Commandment | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Groton St Scout | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Halo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbonite | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Road | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Down One to Go | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Open Bar | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Soul | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Sound | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callant | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Cake Is a Lie | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Tart | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Risk | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Bird Can Sing | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spinyatta | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quanique | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary Pray for Us | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hey Braciole | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flick of an Eye | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maddizaskar | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring for More | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loyal Heart | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forever Daisy | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hug the Rail | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boss | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Super Nova | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vip Nation | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speed Khaleesi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Devil Buster | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Dreams | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blessingoracurse | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Anna Rae | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Be Stevens | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Princess Rashelle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thea Afroditi | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All Clear | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Davka | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regalian | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comeoncomeoncat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dead Broke | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heyitsnricopalazo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Danny California | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Analyze the Odds | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Delights | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Champagne Event | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Party | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Honor | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Princess Alana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bengie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Missimpazi | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Climb the Ladder | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Formal Event | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Desert Jazz | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Card Doll | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Bountiful | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Consubstantial | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Seattle Frost | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Status Asthmaticus | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.