March 10, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bet On Black | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Successful Ryker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pressing Luck | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Smile | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Christopher Cat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fireman Isaac Max | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What a Shiner | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Glitters | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starook | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archer One | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bucky Boy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Calling Panther | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stihl Harbor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rippin Ride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pray You Catch Me | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothmoney | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gardner’s Song | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rwanda | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rooster Bullet | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toss the Tub | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Along Came Macey | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf’s Song | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buxton Boy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Korbin’s Kopy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Captain’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Boss Jack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Windys Roadway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Croissant | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | He’s an Honest Man | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Rock Creek | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Correa | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | D W Wingman | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | I Believe in Us | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | King Formeredith | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bless All | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Improviser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Red Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Carmens Catcher | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Recreational Use | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewmisterio | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Hoga | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ethan’s Landing | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | At Your Word | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Players Gonna Play | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charming Afleet | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Jay Gee | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Drewcitable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hardly Seen Slim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Copper Mountain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Placer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Delicious | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simba’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Wisdom | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coach Avery | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celerity | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Wildcat | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Combat Command | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cachito | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ty’s Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cody Cody | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Equilizer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stanton C | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Him Twice | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Joe | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Pay | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minister Henny | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castlederg | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crider Cash | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pelican S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Drewcitable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Titanium Bill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bitsy’s Afleet | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Creed | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Star | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Money | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jalen Hurts | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Man | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Luwegee | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Anne | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mediamaker | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exigent | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bill’s Production | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Laughingsaintssong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queeten | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forerun | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Randy Paul | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Run | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skylas Gold | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galaxy Builder | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kenai Star | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aaron’s Bluff | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steppin’ Outonher | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adios Yankee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Flying Honeypot | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mocito Rojo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Ruler | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shareholder Value | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellarmine | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ruston Vow | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Underpressure | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Great Minds | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Louisiana Moon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Real Gone Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Low Places | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Heavy On Themister | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome J T | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rose Needs a Check | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Passing Simon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alabama Slim | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salutetheprince | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howe Amazing | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zarking | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just too Smart | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Primary Patrick | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Double Down | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | First to Score | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapster | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eagle Rising | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman’s Prize | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Turn | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highroller Man | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evan Lee G | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clasifrontier | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bubba Ray’s Sun | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debriyn | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crenshaw | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mauk Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bermuda Bridge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Primetime Tiz | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Earned | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vox Populi | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cash for Glory | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Promised Youhuff | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Actor | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colt’s Secret | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relentless Attack | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Yankee | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Trickey Run | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.