Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 10, 2018

March 10, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pretentious 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bartleby 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Heart in Hand 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Danebury 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Incorporate 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Three to Thirteen 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Full of Mine 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Quai Voltaire 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blame Us All 5.00 4.6 9-1
1A 1 Acoustic 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sir Alfred 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cheyenne Bull 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Javelin 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Glennrichment 8.00 5.1 10-1
5A 5 Micozzi 3.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Beyond the Green 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Terry O Geri 30.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Mineralogy 15.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cause for Surprise 3.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Power Nap 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 A Fleet Attitude 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Bluegrass Prevails 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 Shuffle Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Bigshotinthenews 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Milo Milo (ARG) 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Lyrical Miracle 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ransom Note 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Daddy’s Home 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Alum 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Adirondack Dream 4.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Gun for Hire 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Celtic Scout 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Hamptons Holiday 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Facade 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Honor and Pleasure 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 I Miss My Father 30.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Independent Worker 50.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Auburn Avenue 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Proletariat 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 H Man 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Ethan Hunt 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cody’s Notes 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Discreet Mission 4.00 5 10-1
7 7 Rossie Val 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Awesome Heart 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Formal Start 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crossways 2.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Speke 2.50 3.4 6-1
12 12 Collective Effort 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hokulea 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Lem Me Tel Ya 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Bourbon Did It 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Bad Guy 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Gold Cross 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Santo Antonio 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Holycowits Patrick 30.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Scrutinize 50.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Knockin Em Back 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Stymie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Harlan Punch 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Vulcan’s Forge 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Securitiz 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Watershed 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Backsideofthemoon 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Fellowship 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Hit It Once More 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crimson Frost 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bishop’s Pond 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Inconclusive 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Divine Miss Grey 2.00 2 4-1
3 2 Highway Star 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Boule 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Holiday Disguise 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 3 Frost Wise 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Favorite Tale 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Skyler’s Scramjet 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Great Stuff 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Do Share 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Classy Class 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Threefiveindia 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Life in Shambles 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Spartiatis 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Candid Desire 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Green Gratto 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gotham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Firenze Fire 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Enticed 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Free Drop Billy 1.80 4.2 8-1
1 1 Dial Operator 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Whereshetoldmetogo 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Old Time Revival 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Beautiful Shot 8.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Cove Blue 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Nine Route 30.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.