March 9, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Gig | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pont Du Gard | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Nearis | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothings Changed | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stryker Man | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treys Midnite Moon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Mon | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On My Toes | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talkless Smilemore | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah Belle | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gris Gris | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mizzen Air | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Transit | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Su Su’s Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Wildscore | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Chaos Theory | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Telekinesis | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silver Dust | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Run Tappy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spikes Shirl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mighty Manfred | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Teewinot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kzixon Vengeance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scalpel Please | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Cajun Carmelized | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lil Blinkey | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oath to Ruston | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Chasing a Saint | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Grand Assembly | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Ash Tax | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church of England | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rail’s Genuine Boy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laura’s Pick | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Pam’s Meadow | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Penny Coin Toss | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Suzie’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Naughty Little Nun | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dance Till Two | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Molly Rules | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Podcast | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Top Ten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Roadtogold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cayman Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Pay My Feed Bill | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fuhr a Slam | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Hannah Banana | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Anything But Amie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wise Journey | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sinny Sin Sin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flash Copy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Stately Defence | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catty Krys | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gracequinnannamady | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commercial Appeal | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate N Abs Reward | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Track Teller | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Elle Les Yu | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Electric Kiss | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ide Be Silly | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Cruising | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kylie’s Cutie | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suppose So | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammie’s Touch | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pinker Bell | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosada’s Rose | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jackpot Johnny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gone Lucky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zar’s Star | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’money Honey | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eights Wild | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moment of Time | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealer’s Etbauer | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Kreem | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.