March 9, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salty Smile | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Last Million | 1.60 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northernstreetgal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Lady | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Route | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decorator Jenn | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippity Zoom | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Won Love | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unrepented | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Same Kinda Crazy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing for Beauty | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | North End | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Twist | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playinwiththeboys | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robin’s Destiny | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridledadventure | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Discreet | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Breezy Gal | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anne’s Song | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Calm | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Squeeze | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Possebility | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockford | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curtis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Helooksthepart | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Forest Blue | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Morning Buzz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Guy Ian | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bolita Boyz | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Old Upstart | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lex Vegas | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toohottoevenspeak | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Did | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fratello Del Nord | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calculated Risker | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prophet’s Cat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pegasus Red | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Chapter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Clause | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lake Party | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lutheran Rags | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Incubator | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Felix in Fabula | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Egyptian Pioneer | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infield Is In | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Thicket | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catch Twenty Two | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavy Meddle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel Can Disco | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Command | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giantinthemoonlite | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Jazz | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brimstone | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | For Pops | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Susans Funnybone | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Merger of Banks | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flipped | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zenato | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Can’tweallgetalong | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pequeno Grande | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Andronikos | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ever Young | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Buss the Bell | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracolo | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stag of Sylvia | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.