Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 7, 2018

March 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 The Union Forever 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Brylee’s Deelite 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Salute the Street 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Adios a Todos 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Freeontechnicality 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Aubrey’s Mission 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Stout Margaret 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ten Silver Pins 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Cool Production 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Star Forefather 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Baron’s Rebellion 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Big Daddy Brahms 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Roskilde 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Our Smitty 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hook 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 War Anthem 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Silver Spun 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 It’s All Up to You 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Etruscan 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 One Survivor 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Throwacross 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kat Bite 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runaway Romance 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 6 Spectacular Strike 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Color Me Ready 2.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Adieu My Baby 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Straight 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lucky Slippers 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Margo’s Moneymaker 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rey Zarbyev 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Alabama Slim 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Do Guess Again 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Meseta Diablo 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Wicked Rascal 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tap That Word 2.50 5 9-1
10 10 Cactus Son 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Jubal 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Just Run Skiny Run 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 Culp’s Hill 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Tobit 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Pioneering Native 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Taylor’s Wildcat 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Border Union 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Becky’s Dude 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Offended 4.50 5.3 10-1
10 10 Safe Keeping 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Out Late 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Yonna She Goes 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Better Data 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Harper Bee 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Running Unbridled 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flat Lucky 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Too Tall Tony 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Tiz Alluptome Now 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Smoke Monster 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Silis 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Freedom Factor 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Monsieur Brown 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Back Stage Boy 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Magnanimus Man 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Masster Chief Ron 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Rooster Bullet 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jet Over 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mitchnjohnny 2.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mighty Intimidator 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 All About Diva 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Philly 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 I Rate First 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Contrip 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Sharp Clark 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Carson City Cat 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Top Cat’s Best Bet 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cheers to Berti 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mile R Meaux 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A We Bit Flirty 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Red Wined Up 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Elephante M 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Successful Story 4.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Hustle N Jive 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Chat Rat 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Run Bayou Bird 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Due Apeal 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ellerbe 30.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Whistling Ranger 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kylie’s Cutie 3.50 SCRATCH
9 8 Southern Wind 1.40 2.3 4-1
10 9 Choose This Dance 5.00 2.6 5-1
11 10 Glitter O’Prado 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tinc 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Fantasy Queen 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Madam’s Dancing 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Heaven’s Devil 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Little Lola 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Lafitte’s Diamond 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 All Fore Kicks 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tooth 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Masterly 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wicked Zar 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Sammy Mandeville 2.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Cap Rock Miner 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Flawless Forecast 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Gone Preachin 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Halo Redding 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Greeley’s Dealer 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Babalight 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Menewa 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Theycalledhimbig 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sky Low 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tiz Good 15.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Orvieto Girl 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lost Dove 12.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Tags to Riches 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 3 I Call 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 6 Suckerforagrey 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 4 Love Ice 20.00 4.8 9-1
12 8 Doxontherox 15.00 5 9-1
5 2 Poker Fever Gal 5.00 5.3 10-1
11 7 Lady King 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 1 No Se Tu 30.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.