March 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
The Union Forever |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Brylee’s Deelite |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Salute the Street |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Adios a Todos |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Freeontechnicality |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aubrey’s Mission |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stout Margaret |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ten Silver Pins |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cool Production |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Star Forefather |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baron’s Rebellion |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Daddy Brahms |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Roskilde |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Our Smitty |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hook |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
War Anthem |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Spun |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
It’s All Up to You |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Etruscan |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Survivor |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Throwacross |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kat Bite |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Runaway Romance |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spectacular Strike |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Color Me Ready |
2.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Adieu My Baby |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Straight |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Slippers |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Margo’s Moneymaker |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Rey Zarbyev |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Alabama Slim |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Do Guess Again |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Meseta Diablo |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicked Rascal |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tap That Word |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cactus Son |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jubal |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Just Run Skiny Run |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Culp’s Hill |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tobit |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pioneering Native |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Taylor’s Wildcat |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Border Union |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Becky’s Dude |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Offended |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Safe Keeping |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Out Late |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yonna She Goes |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Better Data |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harper Bee |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Running Unbridled |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Flat Lucky |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Too Tall Tony |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tiz Alluptome Now |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Smoke Monster |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Silis |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Freedom Factor |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Monsieur Brown |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Back Stage Boy |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magnanimus Man |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Masster Chief Ron |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Rooster Bullet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Jet Over |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mitchnjohnny |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mighty Intimidator |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
All About Diva |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Philly |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Rate First |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Contrip |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sharp Clark |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carson City Cat |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Top Cat’s Best Bet |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Cheers to Berti |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mile R Meaux |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
A We Bit Flirty |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Wined Up |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Elephante M |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Successful Story |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hustle N Jive |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chat Rat |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Run Bayou Bird |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Due Apeal |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ellerbe |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whistling Ranger |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kylie’s Cutie |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Southern Wind |
1.40 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Choose This Dance |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
10 |
Glitter O’Prado |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tinc |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fantasy Queen |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madam’s Dancing |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heaven’s Devil |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Lola |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lafitte’s Diamond |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Fore Kicks |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Tooth |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Masterly |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Wicked Zar |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Sammy Mandeville |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Cap Rock Miner |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flawless Forecast |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gone Preachin |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Halo Redding |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Greeley’s Dealer |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Babalight |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Menewa |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Theycalledhimbig |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sky Low |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Good |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Orvieto Girl |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lost Dove |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
5 |
Tags to Riches |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
3 |
I Call |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
6 |
Suckerforagrey |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
4 |
Love Ice |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
8 |
Doxontherox |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
2 |
Poker Fever Gal |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
7 |
Lady King |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
1 |
No Se Tu |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.