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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 3, 2018

March 3, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Helen Virginia 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Loran Holiday (ARG) 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Wishfully 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Miss Helen 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Nautia 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 She’s Spoiled 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Cotton Tooyah 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 High End Lady 8.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 All Golden 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Four Freedoms 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Travy Boy 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Kikinboy 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Quality Choice 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Island Tap 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 City Edition 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Gusty Wind 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Beach Treasure 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Bay Street Bob 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Perfect Tay 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Chatiment 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Grand Nene 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Inmyfathersimage 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Amace 4.00 5 9-1
9 9 Entangled 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Big Boy Bruno 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Lil’s Fast Boy 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Coxswain 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Daring Duchess 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Summersault 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Holy Helena 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Westit (GB) 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Empressof the Nile 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Palinodie (FR) 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Shezaprado 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sand Springs S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Celestine 0.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Grizzel (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Storm the Hill 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Team of Teams 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Kylla Instinct (GB) 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Island Reward 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Perdona 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Palm Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Speed Franco 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 Therapist 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Renaisance Frolic 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Maraud 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Neepawa 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Hawkish 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Eye of a Jedi 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Herecomesthebride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Princess Warrior 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Thewayiam (FR) 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Amertume 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 She’s Pretty Lucky 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Brattata 2.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 My Favorite Gift 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Malibu Saint 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Queen Rose 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Davona Dale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fly So High 1.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Take Charge Paula 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sunny Skies 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Cache 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sultry 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Miss Mo Mentum 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Heavenhasmynikki 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Alter Moon 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Donation 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Modern Tale 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Could Be 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Son Wind 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Laythatpistoldown 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Croninthebarbarian 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Fan Base 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 The Zip Zip Man 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Creaky Cricket 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mr. Online 4.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Picketts Corner 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Giant’s Voice 20.00 7 13-1
13 12 Lakota Brave 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Island Therapy 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Electrifying 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Metz 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Canadian Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 March 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Hogy 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Shakhimat 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Highland Sky 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Galleon Mast 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Conquest Sandman 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Derby Champagne 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Blind Ambition 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Travelling Midas 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Personal Time 1.80 2.9 5-1
5 5 Eclipsed Moon 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Country Squire 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Rare Form 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Numero Thirteen 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Hofburg 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 B I Moody 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 C C Rider 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Just Whistle 20.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Honig 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Growth 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Mr. Jordan 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Favorable Outcome 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Eight Town 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Noholdingback Bear 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Classic Rock 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Richard the Great 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Extravagant Kid 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Unbridled Outlaw 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Sweetontheladies 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Mac Diarmida S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sadler’s Joy 3.50 3 6-1
12 12 Oscar Nominated 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gold Shield 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Muqtaser 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 One Go All Go 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Patterson Cross 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Nessy 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Some in Tieme (BRZ) 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Big Bend 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Bernay (IRE) 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Run Time 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Markitoff 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Xpressbet Fountain Of Youth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Free Drop Billy 4.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Good Magic 1.40 2.5 5-1
4 3 Strike Power 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Gotta Go 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Storm Runner 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Machismo 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 He Takes Charge 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Marconi 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Promises Fulfilled 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 2 Peppered 30.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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