March 3, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Trouble Coffee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Louisiana Wildcat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Professorial | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Love | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hezanothercorredor | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wickets Way | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chaosmos | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sobriquiet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overlyappealing | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Navy Typist | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Your Bride | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ray’s King | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | River Bobcat | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Reckless Ransom | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Witch Hunt | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 8 | It’s Time to B | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Say Charlie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Bristol Rover | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Posse Dreamin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Heartland Hit | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Wine List | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Unitas | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | They’ll Seeintime | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Secure Interest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | And Yet Another | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatdatpay Ray | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That’s D ‘cat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Sniper | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Justice | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taken Back | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pursuit of a Dream | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Spiritualsensation | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | This One Is Bills | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Costa Sugar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pep N Flight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Song of Dixie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Song | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Miss Guretta | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ms Advisor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Butterflies | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Play the Field | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sightly Miss | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Stroll | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harvey’s Song | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | De Last Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Wildcat Beauty | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sally’s Hat | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baroness Juliette | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leighton Kentucky | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mallory Will Shine | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Allstar Superstar | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boss Time Baby | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roses N Pistols | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Active Girl | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Tami | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zarba’s Charm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | My Ruston | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ide Stang You | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ellie Girl | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gingermore | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunny Sister | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Linnie Laurine | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Song of Faith | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spicy Afleet | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gator Jack | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Favorite Promise | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Christopher Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Moroccan Warrior | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | What a Shiner | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Manofsass | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Joey B | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drewstormin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Maurice | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Help Is On the Way | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singing Aces | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sin Llorar | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Destinator | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Goods | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Deadly Truth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Couche Couche | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | North Hullen | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fiftyshadesofbay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catlab | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macandales | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Cajun | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Gator | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Super Jet | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Bermuda Star | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Wind Chill Factor | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sashimi Blaster | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Long Legged Model | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Arctic Peace | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Kiss That Dude | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cat Who Dat | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | O’L Red | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Deacon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calimor | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tonnerre | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Larry | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Harrison | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luck Dynasty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Betweensatinsheets | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Free Music | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Run to Fame | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reydell | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walking Solo | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | D’digger | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Level Temper | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Big Rus | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack Flush High | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whiskey Terms | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Goodeagle | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.