March 3, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madeline’s Hope | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Serenade | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazmania | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Elaboration | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Maeve | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bow Town Cat | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Picture Day | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tasteful | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Rae Anna | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pray for Bourbon | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Light | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Numerical | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Throw the Fade | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson King | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Beauty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dean’s Ticket | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Exchanging Secrets | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Special Dividend | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Constance | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slam Chowder | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Head Shrinker | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Causeway Cutie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glotona Again | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild About Deb | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ekhtibaar | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Prophet | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Zeus | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halloween Horror | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Black | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Going Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | New Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilia Mike | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Big Or Go Home | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buddy Anthony | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Set the Trappe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Want Mo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New York Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Guick | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dynamax Prime | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Story | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Week | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Great Samurai | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dublinthepleasure | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busher S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Union Rags | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Youvegottopaytopla | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | War Heroine | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Miss Lilly | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Disguise | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gypsy Janie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sara Street | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shamrock Rose | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Annie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Starlite Mission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Lune Lake | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Lightnin Strike | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Big Expense | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Little Nanny | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Eyes | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Scripted | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Classy Cara | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rosey Gal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.