March 2, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Error Code | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Friend to Me | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Callitwhatyawant | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Bayou | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pummy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | One King Cat | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sailorman | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Five Card Congress | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | V Double U | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D’wildsummersfun | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Bird | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ten Glitters | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Ems Pal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Giagiajoe | 1.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Road Show | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Fern Doll | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oh No Petrino | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Lois | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Breeze of Cinnamon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alamo Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sobriquiet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cole’s Private Vow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Yankee Express | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | From Now On | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elbert | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Personal Conflict | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im Moonstruck | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exton | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Can Fly | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Production Angel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Proper Romance | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Sergeant | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Howe Amazing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beau Gator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Runnin Sky | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | On Cycle | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slideruler | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masculino | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rare | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passing Simon | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Candy | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glory Kingdom | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just too Smart | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tumult | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Grateful Cause | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Track Buzz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Boehrer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belmont Hills | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liam Skye | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A P’s Winner | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Bind | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Including All | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fan Box | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luke the Drifter | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Colliery | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Avery | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | All Fore Kicks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wildnd’moonlight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Twice a Rebel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Cause You Can | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crickadee | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Appointment | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bevos Winch | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Toe Tappin Fast | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Holiday | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Selma T | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sister’s Image | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Lass | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tor Con Six | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Wild Bandit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rebel Gentleman | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Myblendofwhisky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Halfflatt | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr Whiskers | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sunnyonastormyday | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Go First | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Red Sensation | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful Shot | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hermano T K | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Notation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shoe’s to Remember | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Machinist | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nasty Critter | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Drop | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Chrome | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sergeant Granado | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pal Kay | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Racer | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zackarooney | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bluegrass Punch | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Picadilly Roadster | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy My Boy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ender | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whence | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elitch | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Southside Shorty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rooster J | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lanies Choice | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Rampant | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Shout | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cha Cha Charlie | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walker the Wiz | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My New Guiter | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On Time | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiger Bill | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Pierre | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | I B Sweet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dramatic Act | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Camana Bay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Whisper Inthe Wind | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kaleigh’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Selfie Sensation | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Red Slippers | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Elody | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Kriss | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blushing Reality | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nola’s Fireball | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over There | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.