March 2, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Hiding Place | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lyrical Miracle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Chapter | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Clause | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Bigshotinthenews | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Management | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Awesome Heart | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Callant | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Get the Munny | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gleason | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Night | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coltandmississippi | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factor This | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Helooksthepart | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Runway | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockford | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Blue | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lex Vegas | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolita Boyz | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flat Calm | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anne’s Song | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breezy Gal | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Squeeze | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Possebility | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Playinwiththeboys | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North End | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Twist | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Discreet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roman Reign | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridledadventure | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robin’s Destiny | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pretentious | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart in Hand | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bartleby | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incorporate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | City Traveler | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danebury | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Patrick Frost | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jewel Can Disco | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Meddle | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Pops | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giantinthemoonlite | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brimstone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love That Jazz | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Toohottoevenspeak | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chilly Bon Bon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fratello Del Nord | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Did | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calculated Risker | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Readyheartandsoul | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pegasus Red | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.