March 1, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Kid Pichongo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Full Heart | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Congratulate Me | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Heart | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Teeth | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncommon Cat | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | One Million | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Specialeyes | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Creole | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Logan’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Case’s Ticket | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mediamaker | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jake the Band Man | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countach | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Mystique | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solanair | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Sky | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentle Commitment | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Spring | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thank Ya Jesus | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waiting On Thunder | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whathadhappenwuz | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | I Am Ready Again | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C Harris | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perin the Pirate | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddieslilwildcat | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Place Remembered | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar King | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D J Trumpet | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My First Guitar | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Blink | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wyeth | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Par | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aurora’s Kid | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Punch Express | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Legion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skip the Pinot | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Image | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flying Rosie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daddy Boat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Diva’s Ransom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starry Ide Elaine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Lovely Charlie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nola Fashion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yalisha | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tortuga Rio | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Golden Girl | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vanishing Image | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | D’wild Muffin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Included | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Devine Mischief | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Arithmetic | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brown Eyed Blues | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spark Joy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Metro Girl | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Way | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | No Funny Biz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Interest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fish Trappe Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Sonoma Crush | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Restless Rambler | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Bravo | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Floroplus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zapperini | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Navy Go | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Arden | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Obvious | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Stroll | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | New Colossus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Making a Marc | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Late Nite Mischief | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mercertown | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Graham’s Way | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M G Warrior | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Marmello | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ace of Diamonds | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Colonel’s Pride | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verhalen | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.