February 28, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cool Production | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Houdini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freeontechnicality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fort Stevens | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Song N a Cat | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crenshaw | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a C Looker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ching Ching | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Chatain | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appoint Me King | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Im Tricky | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debriyn | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Tickatee Tickatay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Moon Gun | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Erik the Red | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sky Flight | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Brazin | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flit N Time | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Valen Forever | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Explosive Colin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | D’digger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Father George | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man Behind the Bar | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Nick Carl | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Church of England | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Bin | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Respect Due | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty T | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flirtation Device | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Man | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Nyla Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rush to Judgment | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Lil Rebel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizmyday | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy and Rich | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kondo Queen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deborah | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rulersshinyfuture | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day O | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R. V.’s Express | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Eighty and Sunny | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Power | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ella’s Actor | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clip Joint | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Courtney’s Gift | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shiner’s Half Moon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indulgences | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Loottool | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Trickey Run | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niagara Storm | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Threepeat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nadia Anne | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Jonesboro Polly | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secrets of Summer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Lavendator | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Toons | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Doc’s Rocket | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fonda Carlos | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Angelic Score | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missbudlitetime | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flashy Kitty | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Force | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Highroller Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Blarney | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Collin’s Express | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonial Power | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indy’s Code | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calmack | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Im an American Man | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Dynamite | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearedfor Takeoff | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cayenne | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Redding | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cheers to Berti | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bushido Samurai | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jade Star | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boogie Miester | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Needs a Check | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dry Wood Creek | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Plans | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandit for Time | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alex’s Turn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mile R Meaux | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shesanodoubtoprado | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Yes Babe | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Over | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palmettovowmenot | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Penalty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westex | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Bobbie Girl | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Suckerforagrey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Angeliqproduction | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moonbeam Team | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Easter Lily | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Demo Day | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Into Mischief | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Majestic Grace | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Silent Smoke | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Little Tator Tot | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sword of Dixie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rattlesnake Kiss | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minion Money | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.