February 25, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curly’s Waterfront | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Heights | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Particleacelerator | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Star | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Kat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pappou | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrie | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alternate Rhythm | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Asesino | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imagineiamfastest | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Gent | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic Duo | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Spring Fever H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Heat | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sunset | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuddle Alert | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Ju Ju | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shy Carmelita | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Instant Reflex | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bowie | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Alphie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spin Me a Kiss | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Allie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saida | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Graycaster | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upo | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Facts Matter | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Drive | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Herunbridledpower | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweetwater Gal | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockantharos | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pomp and Party | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fruity (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holidayincambodia | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dragon Flower | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Masked | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cono | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Musketier | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Cash | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martin Riggs | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La La Land (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trusting Friend | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cannonball Comin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Proposition | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raagheb | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Monarcho | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ike Walker | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Kidding | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear the Mine | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Opportunist | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ladybug | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Rockin Ready | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Travieza | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sensible Myth | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stradella Road | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sutro | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Glass | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eurasia | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Princess Taylor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lemon Drop | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Operandi | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.