February 25, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dance Caller | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Draxhall Woods | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notimeforthat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Young Corbett | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Validation | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saintly Cry | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Performer | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Selene’s Argument | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be Kind | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstage Star | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glispee | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waft | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Prospect | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Ole Thing | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Beret | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Hold On Angel | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Taichung Bobby | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prodigy’s Pride | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Giant | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mommy’s Soldier | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cofveve | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dutchman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Devil’s Teeth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tito Tonight | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Deep Explorer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jax Heritage | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Path of David | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dattts Our Guy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Prima Storm | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Cross | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Mas Mischief | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Santa Americana | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Poddubny | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Honor | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Eye | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touchofchilipepper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carlsbad | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West of Sabinal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drena’s Bullet | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garrison K | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shared Value | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Shadow Sphinx | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | G’s Turn | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tigers Rule | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dubby Dubbie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Clear | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brangelina | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Strike | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Actress On Board | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Meg Fitz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Special Blessing | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Oats | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catching Diamonds | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Garci | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kalliste Rose | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Absolute Love | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Knights Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Ghurair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Plug Catcher | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peej | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alvear | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Svindahl | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Private Party | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Candy Carlos | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cadet Captain | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Politicallycorrect | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Triple Creek | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Four Leaf Chief | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Costa Mesa | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Actif Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hot Yankee | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sammie’s Touch | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elle Les Yu | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suppose So | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alivia’s Lion | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sorcerer’s Appeal | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Open Interest | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Electric Kiss | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ide Be Silly | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.