February 25, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Independent Worker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Son of Mine | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamrocked | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble and True | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Full of Mine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fot | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Buzz | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Theresa’s Boy | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ucantcatchmybreath | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Binkster | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Devil | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Access | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shiny Medal | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Westerdale | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racing Raven | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Labeq | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeze the Account | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Operator | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Go Big Or Go Home | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Special Story | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Combat Controller | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Holding Aces | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Ballantine | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arthur Avenue | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch a Cab | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dooley | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Massena | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pimm’s Cup | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolly | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time Expired | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amen Alley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Have Another | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Asphalt Paving | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | May Be a Diamond | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Musicality | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Can’tweallgetalong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miracolo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mickey T | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Backstretch George | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Huntsman | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alex’s Lemon Twist | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trinni Juice | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kelvin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Last Chant | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spieth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Doyouknowsomething | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | T R Crew | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tusk | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ode to the Hunt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Best Surprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tottie Royer | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Berger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Polar City | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | River of Dreams | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Lucky Lou Pal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Sandy Strikes | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Perfect Gem | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gun for Hire | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Benny Big Boy | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ten Twenty Nine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.