February 23, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Strombolian | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crafty’s Way | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Feelin Foxie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Makada | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Annie Cat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunoof | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runninwiththewind | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Urbane Legend | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amen Sista | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Attaining | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pearl of the Nile | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Off Cycle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hot Yankee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Tough Kicks | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lilbitofjam | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Millie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Loretta | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracles Yankee | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mac’s Honey | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mine Yours an Ours | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinker Bell | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wesley’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Betty Grable Eyes | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Jedi | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timebobanna | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commercial Appeal | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Bonne Margie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Arch | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Track Teller | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kate N Abs Reward | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jerry N Bo | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miz Clipper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Tribal Transit | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mia Bella Rossa | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamonds At Dawn | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heartbreak Hill | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Funny Holiday | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Podcast | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gris Gris | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tiz de Lovely | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baydar | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Moon | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shaker Baker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Song | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highsnobity | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Devine | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soco Unbridled | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Chance Fancy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Because It’s Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Forevamo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Gipper | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jagged Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Hold Me Black | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Decorated Soldier | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Sounds | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Reece’s Dilemma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Abboccato | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Half a Sugar | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Clevius | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elusive Pal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Delores | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clara’s Reign | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tall Story | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Lucky | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Gem | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Alley | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jus Rad | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad and Tough | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tito Tonight | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Divine Holiday | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Expedition | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Delight | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Ticket | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purgenality | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pontastic | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.