February 19, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chancee | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mila Jane | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shecor | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bellicose | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Dancer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Stormin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Good Times | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Wanda Win | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lon’s True Passion | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pachi Cruze | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just by Chance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E. M. Maximus | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Iron Bank | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghareeb | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrightwood | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooking Up a Storm | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banner Bill | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To the Stars | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Ocean | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beauziggity | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sam Sparkle | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War and Thunder | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King’s House | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dukin’ With Dale | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Mac | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Ignatius | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phil’s Cocktail | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver Romeo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moon Over a Beauty | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nicholas and Me | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Arrears | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henry the King | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonspell | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apolodorodedamasco | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maynooth | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Swords | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lonely Weekend | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Check | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingston Pike | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stunning Baby | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McClure | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | San Cristo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Turbin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Liberal Spin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | El Grillo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Union Blues | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Now We Are Free | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tequila Hero | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Expectations | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kowboy King | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Can’tmakethisup | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rumblin Kyle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mischievous Dan | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gleason | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blame It On Honey | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bella Brown | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durango Kid | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taco Supream | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swingstage | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Majesty | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Venezuela | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wedgewood Blue | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Janealee | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catch | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheering for Al | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montrico | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kazzie Cottonwood | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mazzy Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.