February 18, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soglio | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Global Entry | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mambo At the Gym | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J. S. Choice | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kulin Rock | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Point Exactly | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Dragon | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burton | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran King of Kings | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Youshouldbedancing | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Risk Strategy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Golden | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rigo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boy Axel | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Proud Venezuelan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Frank the Butcher | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Into Belief | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vive Le Roi | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High Mischief | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Half Grey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ho Vinto Io | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bon Oeuf | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Attitude | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starship Tribbles | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Warrior Hall | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mzima Springs | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Sky | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clyde’s Queen | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lantiz | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queen Jill | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Latin Lover | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Belle Tapisserie | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timber Ghost | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zippy Willy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Striking Heir | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thor’s Hammer | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trev | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Oak Bluffs | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dubai Bob | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Spender | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frisky Magician | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zandar | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor J Dub | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diddley | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan’s Quest | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Third Republic | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonus Card | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Octopythius | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr to J | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzling Prose | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Red | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluebird Box | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tony Tomato | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Yolanda | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gun Carriage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Bandit | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Scout | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Powerline | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martini Kid | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Warrior | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Rocket | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gadsby Tavern | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Metz | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chovanes | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unleveraged | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blockade | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empirically | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Piantagrane | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Nation | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lascaux | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sensational Sam | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prompt | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldenlion | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dyna Buck | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Show Biz Liz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thanks Mom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Aliphant | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Close the Deal | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Buffet | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grandtastic News | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rahy Momenta | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Assume Control | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady of Shady Lane | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amor Elvira | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christianity | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deeply Undervalued | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Nileator | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Funtastic | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Suspect | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McCormick | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Secretary At War | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benefactor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ault | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Cousin Tino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Put the Hat Back | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Surf Shack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Diplomatic Shaft | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smarter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Signature Twirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salute and Serve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Rule Yourself | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Copper Vessel | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Two Seventy One | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Zeppelin Ride | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Chief White Sox | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Padre | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Big Fridge | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Art Bijou (ARG) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.