February 18, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Toni Rox | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | String Section | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Flash | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercurian | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Dog Matters | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Littlefirefighter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Frost | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full House | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truth in the Lies | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s So Fine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evaluator | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Empire Line | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gio d’Oro | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nine Route | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Engineers Report | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Power Boss | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Chamo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dead Broke | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Cat Sam | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Runway | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Getoffmyback | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Fleet Attitude | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morning Buzz | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Final Chapter | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Miss Sizzle | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magari | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impazible Creek | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Old Bird | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catchmewithasmile | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Sunday | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Theory | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Alfred | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Competitiveness | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Terry O Geri | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Expresso | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manifest Destiny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gorelli | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Soldier | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Broadway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bree’s Got Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Picco Uno | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Startwithsilver | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Noteworthy | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shimmering Moon | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Belle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Margarita | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anything Pazible | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merger of Banks | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comeoncomeoncat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pequeno Grande | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flipped | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won’t Be Missed | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theresa’s Boy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.