February 17, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jersey’s Heat | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croissant | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huddle | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gringo Star | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast as Cass | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Your Grace | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clem Dela Clem | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Your Jets | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rhettbutler | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Parker | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Great Commission | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dizzy Diva | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shining Armada | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magicalchic | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yalla | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Napper Tandy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tengas Best Girl | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Hopper | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stella Sweeper | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonnet’s Joy | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Molinita | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mojgan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hottalabamba | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Move | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uppercut | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Steps Faster | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ria Munk | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Well Measured | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jes Jaa | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finallygotabentley | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here and There | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Brass | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heir of Storm | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Man Lake | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Mark | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Coastline | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | General Ike | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Heat | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secreto Primero | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theycallhimthekid | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unusual Meeting | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Dude (GB) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Freedom | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Next Speaker | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourque | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Whirl Wind | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharon’s Fury | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trapper Peak | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curly’s Mark | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepe the Legend | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Geocas Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandbed | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Kent | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angry Bobby | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Been Around | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Buena Vista S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madam Dancealot (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Insta Erma | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Charity (FR) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Little Lila | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thundering Sky | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juno (BRZ) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fault | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pricedtoperfection | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solid Wager | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Boy Howdy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clear the Mine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookie Loo | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheer Flattery | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sigur Ros | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Pleasure | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Samson | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Horse Greedy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Two Minutes | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Morse Code | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quality Line | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Royal Trump | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Builder | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mesa Jones | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Cioppino | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oso Strong | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgefield Rocket | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Autism Mind | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lipster | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shockazulu | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | For Greater Glory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Malko (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hootie | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saltini | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excessive Kid | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gio’s Calling | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Kat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uber Star | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kid Charming | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miner’s Light | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eldritch (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rafter One | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plain Wrap | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.