February 17, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dublin Leprechaun | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Carthon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Daring Destiny | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Barefoot Angel | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Auk | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time Expired | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pimm’s Cup | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Corinthian Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Buster Brown Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Swiping Dan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Egyptian Pioneer | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pragmatist | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pirate | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sidewinder | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A Lotta Wine | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Haynesfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Papa Shot | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can You Diggit | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Sigh | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extinct Charm | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit It Once More | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clutch Cargo | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Z J Wins | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lost Iron | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Star Empire (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baratti | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fielding Gold | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Euro | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spring Emperor | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wilshire Star | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bunyaan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Orphan Miracle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Orchid Party | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Climb the Ladder | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Lightnin Strike | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missimpazi | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overbook | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spa Angel | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Molly’s Lane | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Formal Event | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thea Afroditi | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awsum Roar | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Tequila | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Max | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eighth Commandment | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Satin Sheets | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cats Halo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugarille | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ribbonite | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Daddy’s Home | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I Want Mo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Javelin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tale of Mist | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gehrig | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Alum | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly a Moon Shot | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quai Voltaire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starship Zeus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Preservationist | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Borsa Vento | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Mr. Buff | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nigel’s Destiny | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Wingman | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shamcat | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devine Dental | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Caniform | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Pegasus Red | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Power Nap | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Saratoga Heater | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breeze Burner | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lenny | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bear Clause | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lyrical Miracle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Callant | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.