February 16, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factorial | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Oiseau de Guerre | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Smartee | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impression | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Terrific | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moneigh Moproblems | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kidmon | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Escudo Nacional (ARG) | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resky Business | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Force (GER) | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not Now Carolyn | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizway That Way | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meanie Irenie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demigoddess | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Draft Pick | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Route Six Six | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aquila | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Guard | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soltero | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodwillambassador | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | When Jesus Walked | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | See the World | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allie’s Love | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike At Daylight | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Hunch | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Areni | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Darling | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Down Now | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Bobbie | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trustworthy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Ky. Colonel | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Twinery | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark Energy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Highly Acclaimed | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Iron Alex | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Like Rhett | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zapana’s Game | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mostly Cloudy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Image of Joplin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dabster | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donworth | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Play Hard to Get | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grazen Sky | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Dorian | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party Hostess | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Be Held | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trap Queen | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proper Drink | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outa Here | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albeit | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rak City | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Sky Logan | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zipman | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Odyssey Explorer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinematico | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accreditation | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Itch | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfection Tale | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.