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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 16, 2018

February 16, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoey’s My Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Serious I Candy 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Vyera 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 Sweet Tatum 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 Blues Corner 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Dance Like Katie 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Weneedtotalk 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Longway Home 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Seaside Surprise 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Piratess 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Sweet Sweet Kim 5.00 4.1 8-1
13 12 Rockets Phenom 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Button Mushroom 3.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Ella B Aly 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Ordained Kiss 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sophie’s Pocket 3.50 5.3 10-1
12 11 Chloe Creek 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Suzy Jones Burrow 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Luna Magic 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 U R My Sunshine 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 7 Bonita Salsa 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Suspicious Lady 15.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forge Ahead Franki 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Private Time 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Read the Cards 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Bottom Line 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Patriotic American 3.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Britt’s Vow 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Arrogant 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Stranglehold 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kerugma 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Oh Oz 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Arch Arch Baby 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jersey Heist 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Big Axe 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 My Peeps 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Darion’s Dream 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Indian Gem 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sizzle Factor 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Abby in Pink 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Perfect Plus 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spring d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dan the Tin Man 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Long Station 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Imma Bling 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 He’s So Zazzy 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Choir Director 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Stump 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 Stay Home 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Star’s Valentino 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thread the Needle 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Good Move 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Unprovoked 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Noho 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Heidi’s Wish 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Diamondcoat 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bartlett Narrows 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Say It Softly 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tyoga Six 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Nobadeer 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 8 Or Sunday 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Oliver G 10.00 4 7-1
8 7 Jive Daddy 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Serious Talk 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Malibu Tide 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 9 Macanao 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Cowboy U Know 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Senor Grits 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Marquee Miss 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Mythical Tale 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Profound Moment 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Our Majesty 1.60 3.4 6-1
9 8 Beach Flower 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Borealis Beauty 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Okie Diva 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Euro K Shotgun 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sweet Halory 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 K L S Forty Three 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 After Party 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Cadillac Red 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 John’s Legacy 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Good Play 3.50 5.2 10-1
6 5 Admiral Shepard 5.00 5.4 10-1
12 11 Picture Tube 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Levanto (ARG) 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Hard Work 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Otto’s Dream 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Luther D 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Bowman West 20.00 9.5 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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