February 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run in the Shadows | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mais Oui d’Or | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somethingwithlilly | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Violent Fit | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Congreely | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simmarde’s View | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Given Achance | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Laughs | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Child’s Play | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Sunset | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stakes On a Plane | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hip Hop | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormologist | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stella B. | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magically Discreet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Heritage | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Island Queen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nailed It | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donna’s Delight | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Money Monica | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuckoo Forcononuts | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Igetakickoutofyou | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | T Sizzle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Rare Candy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lacrostix | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Proud Wildcat | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Acres | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roethlisberger | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Barbecue | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s My Uncle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gimme Kimmy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Be Fierce | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lynnie B | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Selling Stones | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Faith ‘n Works | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Golden Rose | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Da’blues Dancer | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Goldies Tale | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flint Hill | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor and Blessing | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lockupthebourbon | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sventastic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Royal Hussar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No More Talk | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Lion | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Icelake | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Mr. Blue | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Minor Legend | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stephen’s Answer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Oldfashioned Club | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nico Bree N Teej | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zestful | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Mind | 1.80 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Fire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tattooed | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Corazon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Takedown | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pferd Soldat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edify | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She Rolls | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bioterp | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessica Krupnick | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Lady | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatter Me Zanja | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No More Excuses | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Stunning | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zosia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sainte Therese | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Perfect Party Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | What a Looker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prettyasnewmoney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 9 | Nancy R | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Raging Regina | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Issue a Warrant | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Cyndara | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 15A | 10 | Wildcat Rising | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Starship Supergirl | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Out of Juice | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Mystic Belle | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Ms. Picadilly | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | She Be Sassy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.