February 15, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Caramel Cream |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Tales |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dark Bloom |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frigidish |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strike Perfection |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bella Sarita |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ally Song |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tickled by Elmo |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Haus |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Coach Nar |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Earle Station |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hamazingly Rich |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gallopingguinness |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Shiny Armor |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spanish Avenue |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Psychic |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ain’tseentheball |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Velocidade |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Qaunico |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bigshotofwhiskey |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mad Jack |
12.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Dissension |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Titfortat |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Indy Breeze |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Holiday |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Abigail |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
C C’s Song |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Be a Factor |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alittlecomplicated |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alina’s Image |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dorothe Marie |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella Vaquera |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cash Tiz Wonderful |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Lou |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Icy Dawn |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lolo |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Kentucky Brown |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seattle Firm |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oro Bird |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whataclassylady |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
North of Eden |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zan Creek |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Our Addi Belle |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
May Be Suspect |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chilean Queen |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Acumen |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jean’s Beauty |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diva of Disaster |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Florida Bird |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shadynstella |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dixie Lover |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mary Lou |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Lady J |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s Undawnted |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roada Wish |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Day |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Almafuerte |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Little Miss Amy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Katabatic |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Moolamiss |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angelo’s Ashes |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
2 |
Chevy to the Levy |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Criminal Mischief |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Chief of Staff |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Academy Bay |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aztec Lion |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bolitar |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twirling Cinnamon |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chubble Maker |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Storm Power |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Will Munnings |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warcraft |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Flying Mr K. |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Special Concoction |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dutch Parrot |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mallard’s Bro |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glacken’s Ghost |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
J P of Galilee |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chantmeupbaby |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Primarily Gold |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arch Revenge |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Light Bound Bid |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Promising Shoes |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crossbow Cimarron |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Runawaygrasshopper |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Snoose Sasa |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
12 |
10 |
Thegreatgeneration |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Johnny’s Gone Wild |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Jacob Rocks |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tarpys Zip |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Tsunami Cat |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
6 |
Flat Out Fast |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
3 |
Last Young Thing |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
4 |
War Or Peace |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Samurai Mike |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.