February 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | For Honor | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hexameter | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Christmas Sky | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Shark | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joy Drive | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fillet of Sole | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proletariat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Town | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imasuperstar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holland Park | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Lincoln | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s New Moon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whyamisolucky | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoard | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bon Heir | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Heart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soxy Ruby | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Wildcat Girl | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemme Rock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E Warfare | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Westwood | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lex Vegas | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Still Krz | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spartiatis | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Total Tap | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Big Or Go Home | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Side | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dial Josh | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty Martini | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seethisquick | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Scheme | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Punch | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run for James | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mills | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Testosterstone | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Asian’s Way | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spinyatta | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Bird Can Sing | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Groton St Scout | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iwishirish | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queenofthechannel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.