February 14, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Trev |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Captain Gaughen |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Small Fortune |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red Fever |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Budding |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Igo Forgreatness |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lost for Words |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eloy Rod |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Pancake |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catsadiva |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Final Flurry |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Parang |
2.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Cotton Rose |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Motion |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Amazing Lily |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Miss Casuarina |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Lisa Mila |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Crystal Clear |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sunny My Way |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Frozen Queen |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Duquesita de Alba |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cotton Queen |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bodie’s Valentine |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ms. Violette |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elasticity |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Congrats in Blue |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peace Front |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Missimard |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oscura |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
To Joe |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Admirable Kiss |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Admiral Jimmy |
0.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. G T |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
New Champion |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Puertorican Style |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clemson and Watson |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Capt. Overdrive |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Equal Rights |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mitchell Road |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cheery Oats |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
American Frolic |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inconvenient Facts |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joy of Treasure |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Possessive |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winning Style |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ragtime Suzy |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bullet Theblue Sky |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Italian Smile |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bun Bun |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tuesday’s Rose |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wiggle It Jiggleit |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Queen |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Riomar |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing Gia |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Member |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ready for Summer |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stormin Charlotte |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Athera |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vinyardnina |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
August Lilly |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
A Square to Spare |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
College Holly |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Huaquechula |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ariel’s Flyer |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Commentary |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Skeptic |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
South of the Shore |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Coach Rocks |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loopety Loo |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sweet Magic |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Secret Pleasure |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twiga |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
O. K. Kay |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Specialcnsydration |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
One Direction Song |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bitacora |
1.20 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lonesome Palm |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forty’s Sweetheart |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zena Rules |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Steelin Magnolias |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Justa Jill |
30.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Tendowningstreet |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Crime Dog |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wigwam Summer |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Dino Dude |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dixie Mambo |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Haybub |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freudian Fall |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run for the Cup |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go Harley Go |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coyote Quick Step |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Away |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.