February 13, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maryblueeyes | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Rail | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yooou Den | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Lynn | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gracequinnannamady | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stately Defence | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kate N Abs Reward | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Track Teller | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speed Gun | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discovered | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combustible | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Walk | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Clearly Super | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Neon Gator | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Pain in the Arch | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy Joe | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Almoreb | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Art of the Dream | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mistake Present | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Cheer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Shandy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatter the Queen | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Show | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demands Attention | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Lawman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out of the Office | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hideaway Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Candle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Flash Harry | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Patriot Drive | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gemacho | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pocket Player | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miracle Mountain | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Good Intent | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunrise Hawk | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pam’s Meadow | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Bid | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Charlie | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Little Nun | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yalisha | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light Her Up | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Super Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blue Mesa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Parrkaveli | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nileist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 11 | Magistro | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Reward | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go for Moonshine | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Celerity | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A Wonderful Dream | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Yourdecisionotmine | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vincitore | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Landonese | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Michaelson | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bevolution | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nebulas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Social Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Born Again George | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Charge the Line | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aw Shucks | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zippy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tensas Talk | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Em C | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Letithappenquick | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Delicate Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | A Fashion Affair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Touch of Bling | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Finley’sluckycharm | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Burma Road | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Chelsea | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justa Lady | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luvin Bullies | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Wheatfield | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contributing | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweetbaby | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Compelled | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Kart (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excessivespending | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Some Say So | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Armanno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Ide B a Classic | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Caleb Hawk | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yonadixie | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | He’s All Mine | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash First | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fist Full | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Valse | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Trim Down | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lip Service | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Bandit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hula Pie | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.