February 11, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Danny California | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hokulea | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Goals | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speke | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Viradia | 0.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straw Hat | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Netti’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cayman a Bikini | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Possebility | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s Cold Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | The Cake Is a Lie | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Woman | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jetsam Six | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forres Lily | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Affair | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gorgeous Charli | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop the Hood | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Timber | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Front | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Intention | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirtydaysinjune | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Groton St Scout | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Jump for Joy | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Our Whim | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Quanique | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Persky’s Spirit | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sophia’s Heart | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Susans Funnybone | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Devil | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Save the Sangria | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Huntsman | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wheresthebarber | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Bid | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simma Cum Laude | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battle Station | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Breez | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York Hero | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Bennett | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analyze Your Luck | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prophet’s Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bluegrass Singer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shuffle Up | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conquest Twister | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ring Necked | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Going Strong | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strueves Star | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.