February 10, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Celebrate Life |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Upperclassman |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Champion |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Squared Squared |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
True Ranger |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adventurous |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yo La Tengo |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Julia’s Summer |
50.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Amodei |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Trapalanda |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rocky’s Show |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Kaboom |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Informality |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gutsy Streak |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Liberation |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Summer Buddha |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Broken Up |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Temple Keys |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maestro Dearte |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lymebyrd |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rigoletto (SWI) |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fortune of War (GB) |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gustnado |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malibu Music |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burning Brightly (IRE) |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Unique Bella |
0.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Heat |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mopotism |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kathy’s Song |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shenandoah Queen |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Blackjackcat |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bowies Hero |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Om |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tequila Joe |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Next Shares |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ohio (BRZ) |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ax Man |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
All Out Blitz |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kris’ Rocket Kat |
4.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Jagermeister |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kanthaka |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nero |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Traffic Thief |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Wise Curlin |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seau |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Is Trevor Clever |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Path of Exile |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Storm |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bryan Habana (ARG) |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Son of the South |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Second Gear |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kewanee Coyne |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sawyer’s Hill |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Van Cortlandt |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Incredible Luck |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tony Blackjack |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dreams of Valor |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mongolian Greywolf |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tartini |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
California Journey |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lord Admiral |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fire to the Wire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Conqueror |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
11 |
Desert General |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Quick Finish |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bacoli |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caray |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Acker |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Duper Cooper |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arch Prince |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Liberty Jack |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Super Echelon |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Taco Tuesday |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Phoenix Fire |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Jungle Warfare |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Eskimo Roses |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Frenchmen Street |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Pointed |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Masked |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Majestic Eagle |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Dignitaire |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Desolation Sound |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
Elevated Knight |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fightinirishtabit |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.