February 10, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baraway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Made to Fit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Prophet | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildcat Friendship | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Buddy Chuck | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outback Jack | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whoz Talkin Now | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pink’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trust Factor | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | McGehee’s Mercy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mageez | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Just Stormin | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentlmens Agrement | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarb’s Gift | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Let Us Be Glad | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No One Greater | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle At Sea | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nippy Red | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chesed | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatdatpay Ray | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guitar King | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Ready Again | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Meg Fitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Starving Artist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Touch of Gray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Macho Orb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tizaprincessa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chasing Moments | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lyrical Tale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Naples Legacy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond Blame | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Will Ye Go Lassie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Strike My Fancy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Make It Run | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Salty Scatt | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Southern Moon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Mercken | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Querceta | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stand Him Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Behavioral Bias | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wynn Time | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Enchantera | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kid Perfect | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Control Stake | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Decant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Altered Mind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lilt | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | C Islandsurprise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Galileo Gal (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Creative Thinking | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Galilea | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Cowgirl | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Court of Love | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Bella | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ceremony | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tizahandful | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nutcracker Suite (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Mizzy | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logic of Absurdity | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rascofrade | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gorse | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dust | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hard to Be Good | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Hope | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Tappy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grit | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandpa’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risky Town | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Tickle | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wabash Cannonball | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souperfast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Six Schillings | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dot Matrix | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hot Dad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Coco Mon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Forevamo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rocky Tough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Samsen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | He’ll Pay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 6 | Zinger | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Italian Charm | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Strut N Stomp | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Red | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Curlins Vow | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Boyd Crowder | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Oxford Lane | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drane Fame | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rahway | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Bar | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Princess | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shackira Shackira | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Chance Fancy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Storm | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bold Legion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitchnjohnny | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Farmerville | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Caller | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | E Lee | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valid Pursuit | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Tony | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princetonian | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dats My Choice | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punch Express | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.