February 9, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timingiseverything | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Beaucette | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cookies Are Good | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galatasaray | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taking Charge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Twice | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Zarski | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Great Kat | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Garey Park | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kierland | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Channel Won | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizone | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desierto | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jericho | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aggravator | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pulledafastone | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Day Trip | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Teddy B | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Volgograd | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expedition | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Smoke | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big E | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Dan | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Something Bird | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Blushing Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crackling Bread | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspening | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Response | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Accuse | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Discreesita | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Drift Away | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stave | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lynah Rink | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Meadow | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hogans Holiday | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatwillbewillbe | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Collette | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sensational Zip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Nola Win | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Telekinesis | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chuck’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | National Pride | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tringale | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Bad Habit | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miller Man | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Old School | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Wilderness Gate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Special Forces | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Achiever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | M G Warrior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Time Flies By | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Offense | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talking Zip | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Satellite | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Drew | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Current | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Split Tens | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nobrag Justfact | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burnin Daylight | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Menacing | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boyhood Dream | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court’s Revenge | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play Unified | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Delusional K K | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fairwell Tax Break | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Brees | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Chill Factor | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sharm El Sheikh | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Out of the Office | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chicago Blues | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Belgian | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Faction Cat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Banana Thief | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hollow Point | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Main Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lawton | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dig Charlie Dig | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Apparition | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fred’s Lucky Boy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helen Wheels | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love This Dance | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Rebel | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Paint Job | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Katie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bing | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.