February 9, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vip Nation | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anne’s Song | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shezerfirst | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Withaflourish | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Threefortyfive | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gio Lucky | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Ghost | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hong Kong Gardens | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leah’s Dream | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Won Love | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zippity Zoom | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sing for Beauty | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome News | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phantomofthefrost | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Never Sleeps | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze the Bill | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Guy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Hot Out | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Juice | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Prevails | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Risk Management | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Bear Clause | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puppy Manners | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Roman Revival | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar None | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Down One to Go | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Last Million | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Roxy Girl | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right On | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paranoia | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Sky | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charming Indy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Dreaming | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Bon Bon | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigshotinthenews | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taoiseach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zabaione | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Mine | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Mission | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Status Asthmaticus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Frost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Devil Buster | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Kelly Go | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stormy Rita | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Formal Event | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Blessingoracurse | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Princess Rashelle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.