February 4, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fautive | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boosting | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | E Lizzy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Street Miz | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Postino’s Secret | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chapel Gap | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Already Bettye | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greasedlightning | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Surprised | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shecor | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Sighs | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baccarat Honor | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Good Times | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Via Castagna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Took Over | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belfour | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Notion | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Notion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Cape | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Punch Smart | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirst for Truth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Anissa | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Chocolate | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dorothyfromdublin | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Claravoyant | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blondie Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kyleigh’s Smile | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viserion | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nico Bree N Teej | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durango Kid | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bella Brown | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dial Operator | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lettersfromdublin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Mischief | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharon’s Thunder | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daray | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Fit | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Top Hat Countess | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Brandi M | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Menorah Lora | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Laughs | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hold That Kiss | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coveralls | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Money Monica | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pictura | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corvid | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Abdaar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Correjon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Best Yes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Awesome Bill | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Polar Jet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Bay | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bestkindoftrouble | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sky Chaparral | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cobh | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dancing With Maude | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Cobblestone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Friend of Liberty | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Up Hill Battle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Angel At War | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Downtown Mama | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shacklefords Lady | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chilly Start | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | One Flashy Cat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Totally Unexpected | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jarvis | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bungalow | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Run | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifties Music | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrivano | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balkan | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Wild Bill | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Year Book | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.