February 1, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lurey An | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Runningdowndreams | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charzee Baby | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red La Rosa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anytime Baby | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star Too | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Class Misty | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Too Dim | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Mocha | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caleb Hawk | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snapper Bite | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Due | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancehall Jack | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skyclassic Way | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Formidable | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Aviator Parks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Beltway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blarney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Humor | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Billy Big (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roar of the Lion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Higher Factor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hud | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blushing Dreamer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Castle Zip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Betty Grable Eyes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Su Elegancia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nyla Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Jedi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yooou Den | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stately Defence | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commercial Appeal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jerry N Bo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Fashion Amour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Champagne Diva | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feisty Embrace | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fame Feather | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yes Gorgeous | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Andthebandplayedon | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Girls Life | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddy Boat | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flying Rosie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Kitty | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nineteenth Street | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Kan | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jenda’s Agenda | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Release | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durango | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aiken to Be | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Haynesfest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Another Level | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Kabella | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deadline | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luna | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salt Bae | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes to the Dress | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santino | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Isabelle’s Boots | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aubrey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A P Indy Is Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Warleggan | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncail | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brexit | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Giant | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Limit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flatexcel | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold On Angel | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mommy’s Soldier | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shut the Box | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Distortion | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Noon Rider | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Applicator | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Move On | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Mean Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Florida Won | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Your Nickel | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doug’s Bug | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tylers Bandit | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Higher Wager | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hermano T K | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jackpot Johnny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aint There No More | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz the Blues | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ash Tax | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.