February 1, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alabama Bound | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Queenofthechannel | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Three | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expressly | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Preziosa | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ekhtibaar | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’ambrosio | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unforeseeable | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Untraceable | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catenaria | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Triangulate | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | The Chamo | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swiping Dan | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accumulator | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phoenix Bound | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maimo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mister Hayes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Astounding | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Storm Prophet | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Blue | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Koa | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jet Black | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Racing Raven | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Augustine | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Boss | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Split Verdict | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Get the Munny | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freeze the Account | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metaphorical | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tenacious Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Caoimhe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | City of Dreams | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gypsy Janie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dreams Are Pazible | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rapid Route | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mojito Margarita | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock On Sandy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tasteful | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Full House | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lion in Wait | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Untaken | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Greatreviews | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spring for More | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colorful Charades | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Gentle Annie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Northernstreetgal | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Lady Bountiful | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jurere | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty On the Case | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nyromaniac | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hug the Rail | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Netti’s Legacy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speedy Analysis | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.