January 27, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Littlefirefighter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | For Honor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | A Dixie Twister | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anna Rae | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tiz Rae Anna | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Arietta | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Rashelle | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Go Kelly Go | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Eyes | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Straw Hat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Withaflourish | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baby Boss | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vip Nation | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Netti’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cayman a Bikini | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Toboggan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takaful | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life in Shambles | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vulcan’s Forge | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Stuff | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Revolution | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Massena | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Classi Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Port Arch | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barefoot Angel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipsandgoods | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pimm’s Cup | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Down One to Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Instant Replay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Power Nap | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Roman Revival | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Blaze’n Prospector | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Callant | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Big Zip | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Guy Ian | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lane Allen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sing the Dream | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | No Hiding Place | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Ross Boss | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jack Straight | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Clear | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nolinski | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Highway | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12B | 12 | It’s Hot Out | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Collective Effort | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belleville Spring | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Speke | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Scottish Devil | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Comeoncomeoncat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Killala Bay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9B | 9 | Wushu Warrior | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Playboy Johnny | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crossways | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frost Z | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | North End | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz R Bella | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Playinwiththeboys | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Maddnes | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Connie A | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Kitten | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Discreet | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Robin’s Destiny | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Status Asthmaticus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Missimpazi | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Trinni | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Cara | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nyromaniac | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speedy Analysis | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Possebility | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hug the Rail | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girlie’s Dream | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thea Afroditi | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.