January 26, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gone Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Eights Wild | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judge N Ruler | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jake the Band Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pinch Assault | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Flash | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whathadhappenwuz | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Machete | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cachito | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tee’s Black Irish | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Tristan | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greeley’s Glacken | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Roux | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirtysix G’s | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D J Trumpet | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Black Tavish | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shogood | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avanzare | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Perfect | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will Call | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashaway | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One River Place | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spin the Cylinder | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Eminence | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extricate | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take the Count | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Believeinholidays | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turbo S | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miz Clipper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Perfection | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Decant | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Swimsuit Issue | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Amber | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Our Lucky Break | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delicate Lady | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | May Lily | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pragmatical | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | How Sweet It Is | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Due | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Demands Attention | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Made to Fit | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Valley of the Hide | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Devil’s Teeth | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Full Heart | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Seven Heart | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Coast Dreams | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Swamp Ruler | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lahaina Lad | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Young Corbett | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Jedi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Lady Soul | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Back Page Star | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chantses | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Industrial Policy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Racey Reecey | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love On Tides | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maryblueeyes | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Ursula Andress (BRZ) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Play the Break | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Embrace | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Walking the Kitten | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Always Enuff | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamrock Star | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Spencer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Dixie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Domer | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mizz Tutu | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Belle | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirteen Songs | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Forget Me Not | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tied Up | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taylor’s Princess | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s All Skeet | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Miss | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spanky | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Reward | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Hot Momma | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arabella Bella | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavens Whisper | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Favorite Song | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grand Assembly | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Jericho | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Russell Cave | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Campioni | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Sarge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Oater | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Old Hat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Get It to Geaux | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Southern Reserve | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.