January 25, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hembree | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bobby On Fleek | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curtis | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Belt | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tribecca | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katalox | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flick of an Eye | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thirstforthecup | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Conquest So True | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bon Heir | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Milaya | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hail | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wealth Effect | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incleveland | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oldfashioned Style | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Disguise | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Tina | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ouro Verde | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Expensive Taste | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Desert Affair | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Buy for Less | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gorelli | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buddy Anthony | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Empire (GB) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Miah | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Us All | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Undercover Agent | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Soldier | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Roast | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manifest Destiny | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blissful Breeze | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timeless Beauty | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burak | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Ruler | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Glitter | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady by Choice | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mills | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altar Boy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J S Bach | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shalako | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Salute | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andesine | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Startwithsilver | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Bergen | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous Scholar | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Hayne No Gayne | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Same Kinda Crazy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicki’s Dancer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Out of Nowhere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jacqueline D | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madeline’s Hope | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bayshore Beauty | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Cookin | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bank Elaboration | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Opus Uno | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spender | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justenuff Hope | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.