January 21, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lazzam (GB) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltini | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Greywolf | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Music | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Any Questions | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Kat | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eldritch (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Get Em Up Scout | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walk On Water | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s All In | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hunk | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Cioppino | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Run | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lookie Loo | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Road | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Crown | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Terrific | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taste’s Legend | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaquille | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speakers | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lostintranzlation | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling Shadow | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamy Gal | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mizzen Glory | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Espionage | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forbidden Command | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Legacy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dalsaros | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plastered | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duranga | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meanie Irenie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lea’s Reward | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | League of Shadows | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical More | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaboom | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seeker | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beloved Holiday | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gio’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mintenized | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Soul | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lifeline | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Van Cortlandt | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temple Keys | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Meeting | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodwood Mirage (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avalanche | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreams of Valor | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Brass | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Airfoil | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indavidualist | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karma King | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Finallygotabentley | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’saruler | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pulmarack | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cherokee Dynasty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Downtownbigbrown | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Salsita | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Boom Boom | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dissension | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scattagirl | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookinforadanger | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gift of a Star | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryder’s Starlight | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Hot | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.