January 20, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Toga Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Selfie Sensation | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s All Mine | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Color Me Ready | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Jo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady El Prado | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May Break Sixty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Strike | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Myla | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anydayoftheweek | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ruston Vow | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Stormin | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tammany Parkway | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queeten | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arkansas Martini | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Datawaki | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Robert’s Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Royal Cajun | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Correa | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Genuide | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Exton | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Boss Jack | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Its a City Day | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jr’s Sauvage | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Wise Cat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Croissant | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Point At Z Baby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Ruston | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Williamette Valley | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Down Britt | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarba’s Charm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Afleet | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Doll | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day O | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ringneckdove | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Branchwater | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promise Tender | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kehron’s Creed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wildcat Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bode’s Choice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Espresso Lite | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | It’sakatfight | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Small Bayou | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Rey | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mac’s Monster | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brave Daisey | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Pretty Face | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Becky’s Dude | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Allstar Superstar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maline | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildcat Springs | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Rae Rae | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fasten | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shoot’em Honey | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Pal Viv | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Rage | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ulm | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Behold the Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Rate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Blessed Song | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss That Dude | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unreal Baby | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In Full Swing | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pep N Flight | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vanter | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Top Figure | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Advisor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thegoodwitch | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ellie Girl | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Fore Kicks | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Becky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Meg | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deborah | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tinc | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Devil | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lorretta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Vieja Luna | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Babybluesbdancing | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Panoe | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | She’sagraciouslady | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christina’s Comet | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ski Tune | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Lutie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Day | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wickets Way | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Professorial | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Julie’s Jackpot | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Believe in Us | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hearted Factor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commander McDivitt | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Give Me the Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Go Selma T | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Call It Luck | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schuyler Sister | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salute Lillian | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Butterflies | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Clever | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slick Rulers | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gia Mama Mia | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Romantic Stroll | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Lil Secret | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.