January 19, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caray | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Twinery | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conqueror | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrisiscookin | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Line | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pocket Personality | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pashito | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bedeviled | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Day Tomorrow | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trustworthy | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topgallant | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moonman | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spiced Perfection | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Bad Behavior | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medaglia Gold | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of The Flames (GB) | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Factorofwon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streak of Luck | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Favorite Trip | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Q T | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Wild Edie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Line Drive | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pure Sugar | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean Bound | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Artistic Ministry | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sexy Star | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | See the World | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Citizen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Conformation | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Ann | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wasatch Wonder | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Del Mar Darling | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sudden Light | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Millie Joel | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Instinctual Kash | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soltero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Draft Pick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Regulate | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Camby | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blame the Rider | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paddock Pick | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Paint Me Lucky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Desolation Sound | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aquila | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pepe Tono | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Get Lucky | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dad’s a Gambler | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | True Ranger | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Ghetto | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo La Tengo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Max | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mostly Cloudy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Like Rhett | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud of Our Kids | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trifecta | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | For Greater Glory | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bronzino (FR) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Screams | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | South Americain | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Verraco | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ebadan (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rafter One | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orino | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.