Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 19, 2018

January 19, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maximus Dan 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mansoor 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Takeoff 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Katy’s Cooper 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 No Boundaries 10.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Alaskan Son (IRE) 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 5 Billy Big (IRE) 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 4 Humor 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 2 Going Rate 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 6 Mighty Manfred 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Alittlevodka 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saguaro Row 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Bringyourownbottle 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Stellar Moon 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 4 She’s a Julie 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Classy Act 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Go Google Yourself 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 2 Pocket of Candy 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Meadow Gem 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Tessa’s Treat 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Grandma’s Princess 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Can She Scoot 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Run to Glory 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Surprenante 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Perfect Giant 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Mellwood Summer 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Notional Star 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Catwalk Commando 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sea Vow 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Monte Man 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Spring Value 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Quality Production 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Double Barrel Man 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 My Pal Torres 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Pocketball 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Warned 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Cause 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Sacred Storm 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Lady Into Mischief 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Honor Bar 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Ava Atticus 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Sundereya 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 One Shot to Win 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Atlantis 12.00 6 11-1
4 3 Bella Moon 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Samargo 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Top Mention 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cotton Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hellofaguy 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Run From the Nun 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Lucas Henry G 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Solanair 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Tiz Always His Way 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Girls Life 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 D’ Cat 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Regal Dame 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Chloe Raven 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Roussalka 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lunaris 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elite Score 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vicks First Pick 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Friend to Me 20.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Uncommon Cat 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 He’s All Mine 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Cork Arm 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Shaniko’s Secret 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 War Letters 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 4 Merry Mike 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Iron Grip 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Custom Ridge 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 My Pal Kay 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sobriquiet 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Aint There No More 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Last of the Luck 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Zebedee Zered 12.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.