January 19, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Itsbouttime |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Stormy Crossing |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Carellie’s Candy |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Bernattete |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Misty Reality |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sashay Gal |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Unbridledkittycat |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mac’s Is Ruling |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Stonewall Boy |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Bodenus |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Sweet One |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mediamaker |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Treasure Map |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Silent Legend |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thank Ya Jesus |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shoe’s to Remember |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Poppa Stoppa |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
King Sniper |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Black Justice |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lass Song |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Reddy to Bet |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Oliver’s Prayer |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Flirtation Device |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Fonda Carlos |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ginger Tee |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Twice a Rebel |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Missbudlitetime |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Katniss |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miso Smooth |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flashy Kitty |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Lavendator |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Breeze of Cinnamon |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Malila |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Z Bonita |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockin’rouxs Best |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Victory Bind |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Grateful Cause |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
County Coroner |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Z U Soon |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dr. Boehrer |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Holy Flash |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Belmont Hills |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chasing Jett |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hezanothercorredor |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Blarney |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Loaded Dynamite |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elephante M |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zargaux |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vision to Win It |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brown’s Monkey |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Have No Que |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strawn’s Cash |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Im a Cowboy Too |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rylee’s Grand Song |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Between the Arches |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Whiskey Chick |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tax Money |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Britts Hope |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
D D’s Delight |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
My Pal Em |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Adieu My Baby |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cool Deal |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Cajun Creed |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Da’ Big Newt |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Exigent |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Red Kid |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roaring Star Fire |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Cash |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Titanium Bill |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wildcat Harrison |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Theboyzdelight |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Moroccan Warrior |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wicked Zar |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Judge Dixon |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Babalight |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jack Be Quick |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gary |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drewstormin |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Menewa |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Brie Brie’s Joy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Evan Lee G |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Osidy Cat |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Martin de Tours |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Bayou Banjo |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Hustle N Jive |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Highroller Man |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Lucame |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Valid Prospector |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
1 |
Chatainbegood |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Debriyn |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
3 |
Aubrey’s Mission |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.