January 15, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Scotty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defiantly | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waldorf | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excessive Kid | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malko (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Any Questions | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skagit River | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Trapper Peak | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Charles | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Italian | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Risky Proposition | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandbed | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Violent Ridge | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes I’m Ready | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faversham | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coil Me Home | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mavericks | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Born On the Bayou | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mac McLovin | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly First Class | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zap Again | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pampers n’ Boots | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Mojo | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upperclassman | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trapalanda | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reverend Al | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celebrate Life | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trickonomics | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Ascent | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Crew | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Cash | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Move Over (GB) | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Equity | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusting Friend | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cannonball Comin | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Diver | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gem of a Guy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmythisnjimthat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imagineiamfastest | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Kingdom | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lighthouse Boogie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight World | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nine Issues | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Moment | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agressivebrawler | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiquilin | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Megahertz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bombilate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Insta Erma | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thundering Sky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laseen (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Valeur (IRE) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chocolate Coated | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do the Dance | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Donworth | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Sean | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonist | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin Monarcho | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grazen Sky | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Vice Marshal | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Opportunist | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Shelby | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delectable | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunday Prophet | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starlet Storm | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone to Town | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Breeze | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Deccan Queen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meal Ticket | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tim’s Girl | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Offer | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beauty Divine | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.