January 15, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Nicky Numbers |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Texas Sky |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Run for Charlie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bye Crazy Eyes |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bested |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brave John |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Distorted Ransom |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Starstruck Kitten |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Union Forever |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perplexed |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Minister Nick |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pharme Phlash |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
11 |
Willow Ridge |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tizatalker |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Cinderella’s Gold |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Euro Me |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Georgia’s Reward |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chiroc |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
More Monique |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dutch Treat |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spunky Town |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella My Girl |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
All About Betty |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
River Goddess |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Firewater Rocket |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Chloe Creek |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Primary First |
10.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
She’s a Queen |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Eye On Harper |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Indian Gem |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pretty Greeley |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
White Gold |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Darion’s Dream |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Little Miss Amy |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Azul |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chevy to the Levy |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moolamiss |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Roan Feathers |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cascabria |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lighten Up Frances |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Tizwayorthehighway |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Handsome Harve |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Silent Wave |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coach Adams |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Macho Mon |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sergeant McNerney |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Double Deep |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
B Dubya |
2.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brouillard |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leo Meister |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Artesia Wells |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flat Out Fast |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cause to Action |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hung Over On Gin |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Southsider |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Sandville |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Tiz Our Turn |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mojo Man |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Canadian Game |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Twist Off |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nileist |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghost Rocket |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Into My Dreams |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Song of the Nile |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lighthawk |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tapit City |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Andrew the Giant |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strolling |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
El Bonito |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Hey Bro |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Toasting Master |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
All About Ashley |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mineyerownmalone |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Malibu Wood |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
He’s So Zazzy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Big Exchange |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Just Fred |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daftar |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Undivided |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sassy Sienna |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Charmin Dixie |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Glamorized |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
First Alternate |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elusive Truth |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honor With Pride |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sydney Freeman |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goldie Again |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grats Road |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Orbelina |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lone Rock |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Navistar |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Mourinho |
1.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Bode’s Maker |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Combatant |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tap Daddy |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Arched Feather |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Corinthian’s Glory |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
I Am Miss Brown |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
American Holiday |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Event of Default |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Erratic Behavior |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Barbary Hall |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Get Paid |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
11 |
Papercoversrock |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Secret Trick |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fairwayngreen |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Whataclassylady |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Alittlecomplicated |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mercer Slough |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
3 |
Pinchme I’mdreamin |
20.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.