January 14, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Impression | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Principal Bob | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Street to Indy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfection Tale | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Odyssey Explorer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneigh Moproblems | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Thief | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lighthouse Point | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Builder | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire When Ready | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Man | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big and Loud | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaleidoscope Kid | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Take Charge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Acker | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sky Logan | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bottle Service | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Curlin | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Fandango | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rak City | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kona Coast | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Itch | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haylord | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gio Star | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American League | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spitfire | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Paris Night | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Star Parade | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentrified | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harrovian | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Harbor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Downhill Run | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain N. Barron | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Touchdown U S C | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old School Ike | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Danny O | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dos Palos | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Rize | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Chewy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gryffindor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alphadar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Derby Factor | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straightcash Homie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tatar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bold Papa | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Save Ground | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Atonarun | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Me In | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Schooley | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accreditation | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Gravity | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmotivo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anziyan Cat | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hailey’s Kid Comet | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Show It N Moe It | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Rosie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Tigress | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrie’s Success | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpathia | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharona Sunset | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silverspun Pickup | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | If Only Ida | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kalookan Queen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ashley’s Sassy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Princess Karen | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuddle Alert | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Selcourt | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuyathy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Stacy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reverse | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mother of Dragons | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dis Smart Cat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scandal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Estrechada (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | How Unusual | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Evo Campo (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Manta Gris | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy De | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Plein Air (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shazara | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Connie | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Antonina (PER) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.