January 14, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Jersey Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vow’s Son | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bilko | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Goldminer | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Koopa Troopa | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can He Shine | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Warrior | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drops and Buckets | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greasedlightning | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Sue | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moscows Got Talent | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avilles | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolin Around | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brute Force | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brancato | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A True Gentleman | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Break the Mold | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yakabobo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Wrote the Script | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson S | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Queen | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Firey Child | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Action | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Menorah Lora | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharon’s Thunder | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rein Supreme | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soft Landing | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trapps Star | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Abdaar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ballivor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lazarus Project | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bestkindoftrouble | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Awesome Bill | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sky Chaparral | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Correjon | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promote | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Buddy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Tea | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Proud Wildcat | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worth His Salt | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Degrom | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Djulpan | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nicholas and Me | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galaxy Express | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just Warmin’ Up | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Torch of Truth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Jack of Spades | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Treetop Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Maynooth | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Global Citizen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lobkowicz Palace | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Kingston Pike | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Swords | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | She’s Achance Too | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fergie’s Lady | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Picnic | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Have Hope | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sazerac Girl | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | No Love Lost | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gray Veil | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marie From Parie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Escape | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Off Road | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Totally Unexpected | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotham Boy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Candy Ride Cat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arrivano | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Year Book | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Wild Bill | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Key Mono | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fifties Music | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zackeroo | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.